I have updated the 17.6 WEEK cycle chart as shown below. You can see that every third cycle corresponds with a high turning point and the subsequent low usually follows within the next half cycle (i.e. the next 8.8 weeks).
The dates are from an update of this original post back in 2013. The next high date is 18th May 2015.
The bigger picture looks like this:
From my 17.6 year stock market cycle, shown in full below:
There doesn’t seem to be any historic trailing price earnings charts
or data available for the FTSE 100 (which are readily available for the US
S&P500 and DJIA) that aren’t Shiller PE 10 type data sets. So I have
created my own.
What this shows is that the average historic trailing PE for
the FTSE 100 is 18.57 and we are currently at 13.41 (compared to a high PE of
30.45 in December 1999).
By contrast the S&P 500
historic PE ratio shows that stocks were mind-blowingly expensive in 2000 (PE
45) and they then dropped to about a PE of 15 in 2003. The long term average
going back to 1900 is a PE of 16.38 and as at 28/3/2014 the S&P 500 PE
ratio was 17.69.
The FTSE is a buy on this basis
but the significant number of miners listed in the UK could be the factor
dragging the FSTE 100 down compared to the US.